Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000141 0.000155 0.000170 0.000187 0.000206 0.000227 0.000252
2025-11-02 0.000112 0.000132 0.000155 0.000185 0.000220 0.000262 0.000316
2025-11-09 0.000095 0.000118 0.000147 0.000184 0.000233 0.000295 0.000380
2025-11-16 0.000082 0.000107 0.000138 0.000181 0.000240 0.000320 0.000436
2025-11-23 0.000072 0.000097 0.000129 0.000177 0.000244 0.000339 0.000485
2025-11-30 0.000067 0.000092 0.000127 0.000179 0.000257 0.000372 0.000557
2025-12-07 0.000062 0.000088 0.000125 0.000183 0.000272 0.000407 0.000637
2025-12-14 0.000057 0.000082 0.000120 0.000179 0.000274 0.000425 0.000692
2025-12-21 0.000051 0.000076 0.000112 0.000172 0.000272 0.000434 0.000730
2025-12-28 0.000048 0.000073 0.000110 0.000173 0.000280 0.000462 0.000806
2026-01-04 0.000045 0.000070 0.000108 0.000174 0.000290 0.000491 0.000889
2026-01-11 0.000042 0.000066 0.000105 0.000172 0.000294 0.000512 0.000957
2026-01-18 0.000040 0.000064 0.000103 0.000174 0.000304 0.000547 0.001060
2026-01-25 0.000037 0.000061 0.000100 0.000172 0.000308 0.000571 0.001147
2026-02-01 0.000035 0.000058 0.000097 0.000171 0.000316 0.000601 0.001254
2026-02-08 0.000033 0.000055 0.000094 0.000169 0.000318 0.000622 0.001343
2026-02-15 0.000031 0.000052 0.000090 0.000164 0.000317 0.000636 0.001417
2026-02-22 0.000029 0.000051 0.000089 0.000167 0.000330 0.000681 0.001573
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000050 0.000089 0.000170 0.000344 0.000731 0.001752
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000047 0.000086 0.000167 0.000344 0.000749 0.001851
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000044 0.000081 0.000160 0.000338 0.000750 0.001903
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000043 0.000080 0.000161 0.000346 0.000789 0.002069
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000042 0.000079 0.000162 0.000356 0.000831 0.002254